Late August is a tough time for most Major League Baseball clubs, navigating through heat and nagging injuries. Many players start to wear down, leading to missed games so they can avoid further damage. This time on the disabled list has forced daily fantasy participants to find alternatives to stalwarts like Chris Sale, Mike Trout, Trevor Bauer, and Aaron Judge, who are all currently shelved with various injuries.
Fortunately, there are plenty of players having monster seasons, so the absence of stars like the aforementioned won’t leave you struggling to fill out a quality lineup on FanDuel or DraftKings.
Key Pitchers to Consider in the Coming Weeks
The St. Louis Cardinals and Oakland A’s are two of the hottest teams right now. For Oakland, picking up Mike Fiers from Detroit has certainly helped matters. He’s notched two victories in three starts since joining the surging A’s, giving up only three runs while striking out 21. For the Cardinals, their momentum can be attributed to Jack Flaherty and Miles Mikolas racking up the wins as of late.
The Mets and Braves have also provided some great fantasy value in the pitching department. Mike Foltynewicz and Kevin Gausman have been keeping the young Atlanta team in line for a visit to the postseason with lockdown performances in pivotal games. Jacob DeGrom and Zach Wheeler are pitching like it’s five years ago, absolutely dominating throughout the month of August.
While DeGrom will cost daily fantasy players a pretty penny, guys like Flaherty and Fiers can be picked up for relatively cheap considering they’ve put up around 50 fantasy points a start lately. Saving a little extra on pitching could be crucial, as there are a slew of hitters locked in right now, putting up big numbers.
Taking Advantage of Thriving Offenses
Boston and Cleveland’s offenses have been hammering the ball all season, but two other playoff hopefuls, the Yankees and Dodgers, have a few players starting to click at the right time. Everyone knows what all-stars Giancarlo Stanton and Cody Bellinger can do, but the third basemen from their teams, Miguel Andujar and Justin Turner, are more affordable options and provide the same impact to a lineup.
But everyone’s found themselves with way less than they’d hoped for to spend on their last pick. Scouring the bottom of the salary pool can be tricky, but there are players like Harrison Bader and Amed Rosario, both regular starters, that have been performing decently over the last 15 games. Each are available for under $4000 on DraftKings.
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There was a day not too long ago where it was unheard of to start a rookie quarterback in Week One. The prevailing thought was that he had to sit and watch. He had to see the game played at the NFL level to be able to truly understand it. Teams wanted their rookie QBs to see it being done before trying to do it themselves.
But not anymore.
In recent years, many teams have opted to go a different route—trial by fire. Let them learn by throwing them into the game and letting them figure it out. While it can be an effective method for young QBs, it can also scar them for life (their football life, that is) because they were not ready to handle it.
What about this year’s rookie quarterbacks?
This year saw 13 quarterbacks selected in the NFL Draft, five of them in the first round. The other eight are not going to start; that much we can say with certainty. Some might not even make the team. But the five taken in the first have a shot.
Or at least at some point since the draft have been talked about as a potential starter. So—who has a shot, who doesn’t have a prayer, and who probably will?
The Players
Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns: Hue Jackson has said since the draft that Mayfield is going to sit and Tyrod Taylor will be the starting quarterback this season. While Mayfield played well in the first preseason game and okay in the second, Jackson has not given any indication that he’s changed his mind.
It helps that Taylor has been playing well during the preseason as well. That doesn’t mean we will not see Mayfield start this season. But more than likely, Taylor will have the job in Week One.
Sam Darnold, New York Jets: Todd Bowles has said Josh McCown is the starter but has also left the door open for Darnold. Darnold’s play has been promising so far, but the problem may not be him. Teddy Bridgewater has looked even better.
If the Jets are not going to start McCown, they should probably go with Bridgewater. He’ll give them the better chance to win this season. But it may be more likely that they trade Bridgewater away and go with Darnold instead. When you take a guy with the third pick of the draft, you want him to play.
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills: AJ McCarron’s shoulder injury will likely knock him out of the competition. While Nathan Peterman has been the more efficient, more accurate, and more productive of the two the Bills are expected to go with their prized rookie, Josh Allen, instead.
For some reason, people seem to be enamored by his athleticism and big play ability. But isn’t that also what they said about Jeff George back in his day? He didn’t end up being very good—right?
Josh Rosen, Arizona Cardinals: Rosen has had some pretty good moment so far during the preseason. He’s made some good decisions and made some good throws. But he’s also made some bad calls and some not so good throws—he’s a rookie, it’s expected.
If the Cardinals wanted to start him, he’d probably do okay, but they probably will not since they don’t need to. Sam Bradford has been as good as advertised so far and has remained healthy. But therein lies the problem, Bradford’s health. At some point, Bradford will go down with an injury, and the Rosen Era will start.
Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens: There was a ton of offseason hype about the former Heisman winner and even some talk that he could supplant Joe Flacco. But then the preseason came around and reality set in. When Flacco’s played, he has looked great. When Jackson has played, he has not looked good—by his own admission.
After last week’s game, he described his play: “I came out cold. I started slow. A lot of balls I didn’t like, but I ended up throwing a touchdown. I don’t feel I’ve performed at a high level yet.”
Any Players Worth Starting in Daily Fantasy Play?
Even if one of the rookies does end up starting, wait until about the midway point of the season to even think about starting him. None of them have looked good enough in the preseason to start. So wait until we see them play in the regular season.
At the Wyndham Championship this weekend in Greensboro, North Carolina, some players were tuning up for the playoffs, many were teeing it up one last time for the season, while others were trying to play themselves into a spot in the FedExCup.
Brandt Snedeker dazzled the fans in attendance at Sedgefield Country Club all weekend, but his opening round 59 won the hearts of all the daily fantasy players who drafted them into a lineup. With several of the golfers accompanying him on the leaderboard playing cautiously to avoid flirting with the playoff cut, Snedeker was able to breeze to victory, posting a whopping 21-under-par.
Bubble Player Comes Up Big
Last week we mentioned Harris English as an intriguing sleeper option. Sitting just on the outside of the top 125, a big weekend in the final regular season tournament would secure him a spot. He did not disappoint, as his 11th place finish helped catapult English into the postseason. Sergio Garcia and David Hearn also had a chance to play their way in, but both fell short in the pursuit.
Navigating Through the Elite Field at the Northern Trust
Now that the FedExCup Playoffs have arrived, DFS players will have an abundance of talent to choose from. The downside to prestigious tournaments though is that nearly any of the 125 participants could pull off the win at the Northern Trust in Paramus, New Jersey. But thankfully, those who want to dedicate the $12000 plus for a favorite such as Dustin Johnson or Brooks Koepka will have an assortment of quality players available for a bargain.
Ridgewood Country Club has been kind to several players available in the second tier. All year we’ve talked about how Zach Johnson, Tony Finau, and Rafael Cabrera-Bello can provide a lineup quite a bit of punch without cleaning out your salary allowance. They can all still be had in the $8000 range on DraftKings despite having as good a chance as any to take home the victory.
For those looking for any gems to round out their lineup, English could be that option if he can ride the wave of momentum from last week. At $7300 on FanDuel, he stands out amongst the third tier options. Another hopeful longshot is Kevin Streelman, who has done well in the tournament in years past.
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This week the PGA Tour heads to the East Coast for the start of the FedEx Cup playoffs, the Northern Trust. It’s the first of four tournaments that will feature the 125 qualified players. With a limited field that means daily fantasy players will have the best of the best player on tour to choose from this week.
So—who do you go with? Before diving into an examination of some of the options…
How about a little information about the course and weather?
The Northern Trust will be held at the Ridgewood Country Club in Paramus, New Jersey. The course is a par-71 and 7,319 yards long. The rough is expected to be a little on the thick side which could mean guys with power have a slight edge.
If all goes well, the weather may not play much of a factor (if any). The change of rain will go from 50 percent on Wednesday to zero for Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. But on Sunday, there will be a small chance of rain (ten percent). The skies will be partly cloudy on Saturday but otherwise clear.
Temperatures will be in the low to mid-70s with a high of 78 degrees on Sunday.
Winds could play a factor on Day One (10 MPH) but will be much lighter on Friday (5 MPH). They will, however, pick up again over the weekend (8 MPH on Saturday and 9 PMH on Sunday).
The Players
You wouldn’t be wrong to go with last year’s champ, Dustin Johnson. He’s the No. 1 golfer in the world for a reason. He has three wins under his belt this season and has finished in the top ten in ten of the 16 events he’s played in. If you want someone you can rely on to score well for your daily fantasy roster– he’s the best.
But one player does not make a fantasy roster. The following are some other players to consider:
Tiger Woods: I’ve waffled on Tiger some this year, but at this point in the season I think I’m all in. For the first time in five years, he’s qualified for the playoffs. He’s playing well right now, and there probably isn’t a player on tour hungrier for a win than him. This will only be his second trip to Ridgewood (t12 in 2010). He’s coming off his best tournament of the season and would love to build off that success.
Francesco Molinari: He’s not the guy that fair-weather fans are going to know much about, but he is playing well right now. He’s won two of his last five tour stops, tied for second at one and finished tied for sixth at another. His game matches up well with Ridgewood making him a good pick this week.
Rafa Cabrera Bello: Besides having a name that is just fun to say (go ahead and say it with your best Spanish accent now), his game appears to be peaking at just the right time. After his stinker of a performance at the British Open (74th; 8-over), his play has gotten better with each passing week. He’s only had two rounds of 70 or more in his last 12 and none in his previous seven.
Dark Horse Candidates
Jordan Spieth: He’s a great golfer, but one that has been hard to trust this season. But after turning in a good weekend at the PGA Championship, he may be ready to break out. May cost too much to take a flier on, but if you want to roll the dice on someone, you could do worse.
Tyler Duncan: Rookies outside of the top 100 seldom make it past the opening weekend of the FedEx Cup playoffs. Duncan is currently 108th in points, but with his tee-to-green game, if he can get control of his putting, he could reverse the trend. However, it is worth noting that he missed the cut last week and has missed it 13 times this season (30 events). Prior to last week, he had made the previous 12.
Sam Ryder: Like Duncan, he is playing well enough during his rookie campaign, but his point total is 114th. He too has missed quite a few cuts, 11 of 25 events, but his game is described as being even more accurate than Duncan’s. But like Duncan, his putting game needs work.
Both Duncan and Ryder sound like guys who have the potential for good days but could very well throw out stinkers, too. If you go with one or both of these guys, the rest of your roster better be studs.
The NFL preseason has begun which means that NFL fans and analysts will soon be overhyping any and every early standout—it happens every year. A few rookies and/or young guys play well in limited reps in a meaningless preseason game, and people are ready to put them in the Hall of Fame.
This is not to say that the players people are overreacting about played poorly. No, they did play as well as those over-hyping them are saying. Some of them could become significant players in daily fantasy play this year.
But let’s not forget something very, very important.
It’s only preseason.
This doesn’t mean you can’t get excited about them. Baker Mayfield did look great against the Giants (11-20 for 212 yards and two touchdowns). But Tyrod Taylor looked great as well, and Browns head coach Hue Jackson has been adamant that Taylor is the No. 1 QB in Cleveland.
But let’s save quarterbacks for another day. Instead, let’s take a look at how some of the rookie running backs played:
• Kerryon Johnson, RB, Detroit Lions: He’ll have to fight for reps with LeGarrette Blount and Theo Reddick. But if he can keep averaging 4.9 yards a carry (seven carries for 34 yards; had a 57-yard run called back) and contribute in the passing game (five receptions for 33 yards), he’ll get on the field.
• Saquon Barley, RB, New York Giants: Was there ever any doubt that he could be a daily fantasy beast? Yes, his overall body of work didn’t amount to much (four carries for 43 yards). But if you saw him rip of 39-yards on his first carry, you’d understand the excitement surrounding him.
• Kalen Ballage, RB, Miami Dolphins: Kenyan Drake is expected to carry the load. But in today’s NFL, no one carries the load alone. While Ballage may be known more now for getting kicked out of the huddle by Ryan Tannehill, he did play well in his first game (ten carries for 37 yards; three receptions for 23 yards).
• Gus Edwards, RB, Baltimore Ravens: He went undrafted out of Rutgers. But if he can continue to average 4.8 yards a carry (12 carries for 58 yards; helped by a 25-yard run), he could give Joe Flacco the rushing attack he’s been missing.
• Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns: It was disappointing to see the Georgia standout gain only 11 yards on 15 carries. But before we throw him out, let’s see how the rest of the preseason pans out for him.
• Bo Scarbrough, RB, Dallas Cowboys: He isn’t going to take any carries away from Ezekiel Elliot, and he did most of his damage (nine carries for 33 yards and one touchdown) on one run (28 yards). But it was a really nice run.
• Ralph Webb, RB, New England Patriots: the rookie out of Vanderbilt didn’t have an excellent per carry average (3.3 yards; 14 carries for 46 yards). But he did have some nice runs and scored twice. With Sony Michel on the mend, he is getting an opportunity to make a name for himself; so far, so good.
• Trenton Cannon, RB, New York Jets: Isaiah Crowell is expected to be the leading man this season for the Jets. But should he have injury issues as he did in Week One, Cannon (11 carries for 40 yards) may be the next in line.
• Chris Warren, RB, Oakland Raiders: Jon Gruden knows he needs to find Derek Carr a reliable running game. If the former Texas running back can have more nights like the one he had against the Lions (13 carries for 86 yards; long of 26), he may have it.
• Royce Freeman, RB, Denver Broncos: Case Keenum is going to need a good run game to take some pressure off. Freeman didn’t do much (four carries for 38 yards and a touchdown). But if his 23-yard touchdown run is any indication, he could be in for a big rookie season.
Going forward
It is, of course, way too early to make any decisions about anyone. But many of these guys gave fans and daily fantasy players something to be excited about. For preseason NFL football, can we reasonably expect more than that?
What a finish at the PGA Championship last week, right? Wow! Of course, now the question on everyone’s mind demands an answer even more—is Tiger Woods back? Can we say that with confidence now? Or could he implode the next time he takes the course?
We will not find out this week. But what we will see at the Wyndham Championship is a bunch of guys trying to make sure they are in the top 125 of the FedEx Cup standings. So, the fair-weather daily fantasy player may not recognize a lot of the names.
But before diving into an examination of some of those names…
How about a little information about the course and weather?
The Wyndham Championship takes place at the Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina. It’s a par-70 course that is 7,127 yards long. From what the experts say, it is one of the most straightforward courses in the country.
What does that mean? Look for prototypical ball strikers and expect some low scores.
About that weather—it’s not going to be good. Temperatures will be in the high-70s to low 80s (which isn’t bad). But it is going to be partly cloudy on Thursday and a chance of thunderstorms for the rest of the weekend.
The chance of rain will be at a low of 20 percent on Thursday before jumping up to a high of 60 percent on Friday. It drops to 50 percent on Saturday and 40 percent on Sunday.
It could get ugly.
The Players
I would be foolish not to put Henrik Stenson’s name out there. The man only shot a tournament record 258 last year (62-66-66-64). Incredible, right? However, while he has made the cut in 11 of 13 tournaments this year and placed in the top ten five times, he is not playing well right now.
He tied for 35th at the British Open, tied for 39th at the WGC-Bridgestone, and missed the cut last week at the PGA Championship. Feeling some discomfort in his elbow certainly didn’t help last week. So, if you are thinking about going with him, check on his health first.
The following are some other players worth considering for your daily fantasy lineups:
• Webb Simpson: Ask around about ball strikers and Webb Simpson will be one of the first people mentioned. Just about every expert and major publication online is recommending Simpson. He hasn’t been playing great lately, but he is playing well. Combine that with his history (which is excellent) at Sedgefield, and you have the makings of a remarkable run.
• Daniel Berger: You have to love a guy who can start a tournament 6-over just on the front nine, but then come back to finish tied for 12th (which he did last week at Bellerive). He’s been an up-and-down player this season. But if you like to ride a hot hand, he’s your guy.
• Rafa Cabrera Bello: He’s finished as well as tied for third and as poorly as 74th. So he’s capable but inconsistent. Lately, he seems to be on and playing well. Last week, he finished tied for tenth; previous week tied for 17th. He may not be great, but he’s playing well, and his game is well-suited for this course. He’ll probably not win, but he is going to play well
• Buyer Beware Option: Hideki Matsuyama— It’s been a few weeks since he’s played well and that concerns me. He tied for 35th last week and 39th the week before. At the British Open, he missed the cut. He could be in for a turnaround, or the cold streak could continue.
• Dark Horse Options: Joaquin Niemann, Shane Lowry, Johnson Wagner, Ollie Schniederjans, and C.T. Pan
Despite the crowds chanting for a hard-charging Tiger Woods, it was Brooks Koepka who hoisted the Wanamaker Trophy when play completed on Sunday. With the win at the PGA Championship, the 28-year-old phenom captured his second major this year and third overall.
The final major of the season saw most of the pre-tournament favorites put up solid numbers. For the upper tier players on daily fantasy sites, there were few misses, as the worst performance was from Tommy Fleetwood, who still put up 68 points on DraftKings. But as exciting as the play on the course was in St. Louis, many four-day contests were decided in the final holes with the low scoring on Sunday.
Sleeper Picks Providing Impact
Tournaments are often won and lost by that key player sitting deep down the salary list. For some reason, Rafa Cabrera-Bello remains a third-tier salary, but his 10th place finish shows he is a forced to be reckoned with in big tournaments. Those who felt nostalgic and spent the mere $8300 on Stuart Cink were treated to 96.2 points on FanDuel from his 4th place finish.
Adam Scott, who hasn’t been a player of notice for quite some time now provided DFS players on DraftKings with 97 points. Brandon Stone was started in less than one percent of lineups, but for the few who did, his 80.3 points are a ridiculously favorable result for someone who cost $7500 on FanDuel.
Golf’s Elite Taking the Week Off
Only a handful of the world’s best will be in attendance for the Wyndham Championship this weekend in Greensboro, North Carolina. But that doesn’t mean there won’t be some fierce competition to make for an exciting daily fantasy weekend.
Webb Simpson, Henrik Stenson, and Hideki Matsuyama headline the field teeing it up at Sedgefield Country Club. Stenson hopes to defend his title, while Simpson would love to pick up a win in his home state. All have the talent to forge ahead of the pack, but with few other top tier options, their salaries are lofty on all daily fantasy platforms.
The players on the Fedex Cup bubble can really use a tournament like this to bolster their ranking. Shane Lowry is one such player who could have the extra incentive to be on his game. And at $9800 on FanDuel, could represent a steal from the mid-tier. Harris English is another bubble player, but he can be found near the bottom of the salary list. For those looking for a cheap sleeper option, English could put up surprising results.
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The decision makers over at FanDuel appear to have decided that it is time to make a change. It isn’t exactly a monumental change; their competitors over at DraftKings have already done it. You could say that FanDuel is copying DraftKings (who have never used kickers).
Or you could just say ‘better late than never!’ Either way, the result is the same for daily fantasy players.
Kickers are gone.
Yes, daily fantasy fans, the kicker is gone. No more puzzling over which kicker to pick up. Do you spend the extra money to get a Justin Tucker or Greg Zuerlein? Or do you go with whatever bottom of the barrel option is available after you fill out the rest of your roster?
What really made it frustrating was every time you splurged on Zuerlein he’d only have one or two attempts while whoever is kicking for Cleveland nails three from 50 yards.
There was no telling when a kicker was going to have a good game and when he wouldn’t. Even if he did have a good game, he didn’t do much for your overall point total. He wasn’t worthless since you had to have one to fill out your roster and play. But he certainly didn’t bring much to the table either.
The ‘flex.’
For many fans, just getting rid of the kicker is enough of a treat. But the decision makers over at FanDuel decided that since they were taking a spot away, they needed to add one.
So, they did—a flex.
For the flex position, you can choose an additional running back, wide receiver, or tight end. If the game has an ‘any flex’ option, you can add a kicker to your roster if you really must have one.
This could get interesting.
Have you ever kicked yourself after falling short of the money because you thought about adding a guy, didn’t, and then he blows up while the guy you did start lays an egg? Have you ever thought about taking a chance on No. 3 receiver or maybe a seldom-used running back because you had a ‘feeling?’
Now you’ll have to make those decisions every week. But at least with this decision, unlike picking a kicker, choose well, and you may win money.
The popularity of daily fantasy baseball has prompted many of the popular sites to create a few alternatives to the classic nine-player roster. FanDuel’s quick pick 4×4, for example, allows contestants to create a roster of four hitters and four pitchers. For those with extensive knowledge and research on baseball’s hurlers, this contest is a great way to put that quality information to work and grow your bankroll.
Below we will examine a few matchups over the weekend that could produce some serious points for your DFS baseball lineup.
Soft Matchups for Baseball’s Hottest Team
The scorching hot Boston Red Sox will hope to tee off against a woeful Baltimore team that can’t wait for this dreadful season to be over. Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts, Andrew Benintendi, and J.D. Martinez are of all sure to have big weekends, as Camden Yards is somewhat of a Fenway South for each. Be on the lookout for Jackie Bradley Jr. and Steve Pearce, though, who are both available in those bottom tiers but have the potential to put up big numbers.
The Orioles pitching staff hasn’t been able to contain anyone in Boston’s lineup, really, so starting anyone from this lot will ultimately not be worth the cost. The Red Sox haven’t officially set their roster for the weekend, but it’s rumored that Chris Sale is set to return from the disabled list to pitch in Sunday’s finale, and has had little trouble with the O’s lineup throughout his career.
Tribe Looks to Continue Offensive Attack in Chicago
The Indians hope to strengthen their stranglehold on the soft American League Central when they face off with the struggling White Sox this weekend. Everyone sees what Jose Ramirez and Francisco Lindor can do on offense, but with Trevor Bauer and Carlos Carrasco set to take the bump on Saturday and Sunday, Cleveland pitching could be a way for DFS players to surge ahead of the pack.
Random Matchups to Keep in Mind
Elsewhere, Matt Chapman of the surging Oakland A’s has a chance to do damage this weekend when they head to Anaheim for a three game set with the Angels. The Halo’s pitching staff has been hampered by injuries and inconsistency all year, so Chapman could provide some great scoring from the third tier.
Pitching wise, Zack Wheeler will set out for his fifth straight victory in Miami on Friday night. The former phenom has really rounded back into fine form this season, but his price tag still remains low on daily fantasy sites. Lance Lynn’s most recent start with the Yankees was a promising one, and with the last place Rangers coming to the Bronx this weekend, he’ll hope to continue the upward trend.
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Despite already winning twice this PGA season, Justin Thomas wasn’t inspiring many prognosticators to shout his name very much recently. In fact, he was only owned by 14 percent of the players participating in four-day contests on FanDuel. That is likely to change after his resounding victory at the WGC Bridgestone Invitational this past weekend.
There were many birdies to be had at Firestone, and quite the mix of favorites and value picks cashed in for those who were able to strategize a way to fit them in their lineups.
Competitive Play at the WGC Bridgestone
The favorites put on a show this weekend in Akron. Thomas brought in the most points with his 21 birdies, but Dustin Johnson amassed 91.7 points in FanDuel four-day contests. Rory McIlroy, Tony Finau, and Jason Day all notched top-ten finishes as well.
At the end of play on Sunday, the leaderboard was mostly full of familiar names, though there were a few sleepers to shine through. We mentioned Anirban Lahiri as one who could provide an impact from that sixth spot in the lineup, and he did not disappoint. His -8 was good for sixth place, which is more than most can expect for someone available for $6800 on DraftKings.
Getting Ready for the Last Major of the Year
The best in the world will head to St Louis for the 100th PGA Championship held at Bellerive Country Club. Thomas not only won last week, but is also the current holder of the Wanamaker Trophy. Remarkably, he can be picked up on DraftKings for $9700. Johnson, McIlroy, and Jordan Spieth make up the top of the salary list, with Rickie Fowler, Tommy Fleetwood, and Brooks Koepka rounding out the upper tier.
There are an intriguing list of players to choose from in the middle section of salaries. Xander Schauffele and Matt Kuchar have put up great numbers all season, yet are still affordable options for those third and fourth picks. Thomas Pieters and Webb Simpson are also reliable players to be had in this price range. Both average around 60 points on FanDuel.
Diamonds in the Rough
There are too many tantalizing players teeing it up for this prestigious tournament. If you can’t resist stocking your lineup with the big guns, there is hope to finish out your roster with a hopeful option. Beau Hossler has five top tens this season, but only costs $6900 on DraftKings. Brendan Steele is another option for those seeking a real hidden value, as he’s available at $8700 on FanDuel. Their scoring potential could mean the difference between victory and coming up empty when play concludes on Sunday.
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