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Bullish or Bearish- Trevor Cahill

By Matthew Kirkeby - 5 years ago in MLB News

Bullish or Bearish: Trevor Cahill

Trevor Cahill Bullish

Cahill broke into the bigs with Oakland back in 2006.  He had some flashes of his former prospect potential, but after a few years of mediocrity he got shelled for 17 starts with the Diamond Backs in 2014 and has faded into anonymity as a reliever.

Shedding biases can be hard, but the numbers tell stories.  His 10.31 K/9 is both a career best and elite stuff.  It is supported by an excellent 14.8% swinging strike rate, which provides better assurance that this may not be a fluke.  Couple it with league average control and you see why his xFIP says he has pitched like a 2.87 ERA and with a little bad luck.

A step further into the numbers provided by Fangraphs.com, shows that he shrunk the usage of his Sinker from around 52% to 30.4% this year, coupling that with a small increase in Four seam fastballs, but more notably a knuckle curve that he seems to have developed in 2015 and refined last year in the Cubs bullpen.

Bullish or Bearish?

I just had my biggest day in FanDuel this season with him at the helm, and I expect him to be deeply undervalued for a while.  I will be willing to take the discount on him in good matchups- especially at home.

I am BULLISH on Trevor Cahill.

 

Have a question about some of the stats mentioned? This article should help

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