Bullish or Bearish – Derek Dietrich
At 27, there may be a little more upside with Derek Dietrich. It’s a little too early to lean on his 2017 numbers, but his would-be career low K% of 16.7% is supported by a career low swinging strike % of 7.0%, and his 24.7% O-Swing% (percent of pitches outside the K Zone that he swings at) is over 6% down from his career rate. These things may mean he’s improved or just that he’s locked in now; but either way, they support his value and cement his floor a little higher.
The Fantasy Value is Real
The Marlins are using him as their leadoff, so there’s a good chance he will get 5 PAs each night. An 8.9% walk rate (7.9% last two years) illustrates an OBP skill that makes him a very stable option at a discount. His current price of $2500 (FanDuel) for a leadoff hitter with an OBP of about .375 makes for a great stable cash game option. Add in his career .168 isolated slugging percentage for some extra pop and you have upside if you need to create some upside surplus for your tournaments, especially if a Marlins stack is priced in.
I am BULLISH on Derek Dietrich as a value option in cash games and tournament games. Don’t go paying premiums of $3500 if he gets there, but in the $3000 or below range, he provides great value and a stable floor.
Have a question about some of the stats mentioned? This article can help.