The third leg of the Triple Crown, the Belmont Stakes tends to attract more casual horse racing fans when the Crown is on the line. But for the third time in four years, it will not be on the line. The winner of the Kentucky Derby, Country House, didn’t run in the Preakness (illness) and will not be running at Belmont Park this weekend.
But the winner of the Preakness, War of Will, is set to run in the Belmont Stakes. However, he is not the favorite to win.
As of June 3, the odds on the horses racing in the 151st Belmont Stakes are:
· Tacitus +200
· War Of Will +250
· Master Fencer +700
· Bourbon War +800
· Everfast +800
· Intrepid Heart +1000
· Spinoff +1200
· Tax +1200
· Sir Winston +1600
· Joevia +2500
Much like the Preakness, there isn’t a horse with truly long odds like Country House had in the Kentucky Derby. But there are a couple of strong favorites in a field of strong contenders. So, who should you go with? The favorite or is there someone with longer odds (and a chance to win gamblers more money) worth betting on?
Who could win?
Many experts are high on the favorite, Tacitus. But he seems to do his best work when he can run from behind when the race gets off to a fast start early on. He may not get that fast early start this weekend.
Horses that rely on their stamina and ability to comeback have not fared well in the Belmont in recent years. Since 2010, there has only been one winner that was behind by more than three lengths at any point in the race (Tapwrit in 2017).
Some think Master Fencer could be worth a look even though he only got his berth after three other horses dropped out.
Intrepid Heart is receiving some positive press as well. While he has only run in three races this year, he won two of them. In the third, he stumbled coming out of the gate and still took third. His trainer is also a three-time Belmont winner.
Many are also high on Preakness winner, War of Will. He was one of the horses that were impacted by Maximum Security at the Kentucky Derby. Could he have won had his momentum not been slowed down? Maybe—and then we would be looking at the Triple Crown potentially being won for the third time in five years.
But who should you go with because you don’t want a horse without a riding?
The safest bet is definitely Tacitus, but betting on the favorite is not going to win you a lot. However, if you are willing to take a chance to win more, consider going with Intrepid Heart. He hasn’t been run too much this year and should be well rested. Having a Belmont winning trainer makes him a promising candidate as well.
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